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What Causes Inflation? (You may be surprised) - Part 2 July 15, 2008

Posted by Jeff Nabers in Money, Personal Enjoyment.
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In Part 1 of this post, we examined the facts concluding that inflation is caused by monetary debasement. In this follow up, we’ll observe the reason behind why common belief is that inflation is at 3% - 5%. First, let’s recap what was already covered:

What is Inflation?

Inflation is the steady, continual rise in the price of goods. It is typically measured using a “basket of goods”. In this approach, the prices of many different goods are tracked and then integrated using some sort of logical weighting calculation.

What causes inflation?

In most developed countries, money is created by a central banking system. In the US, our central banking system is that of the Federal Reserve, a private bank. Money can be created by the Federal Reserve depositing newly created money into its member banks in exchange for US bonds. This increases the amount of money in existence. Additionally, every bank in the US has the ability to lend out 7 to 11 times as many dollars as it has in deposits. This also increases the amount of money in existence. With an increased money supply, prices rise. A continually increasing money supply, aka monetary debasement, causes inflation.

What is the current rate of inflation?

This is where there is a difference of opinion. For decades, inflation has been estimated using a “basket of goods” approach. In this method the price of each of a variety of goods is tracked, a logical weighting is applied, and the output is the rate of inflation, usually annualized. Under this method we can see inflation swinging up and down through economic cycles. In the early 1980’s, this data shows inflation at nearly 15% per annum. This is based on the published figures of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

In the early 1990’s the methodology of inflation reporting changed drastically, thus rendering the BLS “official” figures virtually useless. Unfortunately, these BLS figures continue to be used as if they were accurate.

A change in calculation method

Around 1993, Alan Greenspan argued that there was a flaw (more…)

30 Day Challenge: Can you do without TV? June 22, 2008

Posted by Jeff Nabers in Health, Personal Enjoyment, Personal Productivity.
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I do a lot of things differently in an effort to enjoy my life. Sometimes I forget just how abnormal some of them are. This past week I co-instructed the IRA Association of America professional member enrollment course in Denver, CO. During a lunch conversation, one of our new members asked me what my secret is to accomplishing so much so rapidly. I half jokingly explained that I don’t watch TV. I guess this type of statement is more unbelievable than I had thought because a couple of hours later he still couldn’t believe it: “You really don’t watch any TV at all?”

“I don’t own a TV,” I explained. “I occasionally watch DVDs on my projector.”

I don’t watch TV for two reasons:

Mental & Physical Health - I believe that everything that goes into my body or mind becomes part of me. Turning on the TV means that I can choose to watch what’s available from a menu, but only if I also watch other things which I have no control over - commercials. Our thoughts create our reality. Having others’ thoughts shoved into my brain means letting other people create my reality.

Time - I want to enjoy my life. Every second is a decision. When I pit TV against snowboarding, snow skiing, wakeboarding, water skiing, bicycling, car racing, motorcycling, playing musical instruments, and traveling to new places… TV always loses. To afford some of these activities (more…)

Penalty Free Early Distributions May 23, 2008

Posted by Jeff Nabers in Money, Personal Enjoyment, Self Directed IRA/401k.
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Probably one of the must unknown facets of retirement planning is that you can distribute before age 59 ½ for any reason without paying the extra 10% early distribution tax. How?

Substantially Equal Periodic Payments

  1. Set a distribution schedule calculated using IRS tables
  2. The schedule must have regular payments of a certain consistent amount.
  3. You must make receive these distributions from your retirement account either until you reach age 59 ½ or for a 5 year period… whichever is longer.

Internal Revenue Code Section 72(t) is where the extra 10% tax for “early distributions” (before age 59 ½) is imposed. However, if you read on to IRC 72(t)(2)(A)(iv) it is explained that the 10% tax is not applicable to any distribution that is part of a series of Substantially Equal Periodic Payments - or SEPP for short.

To give you an idea of how this works using calculations from IRS life expectancy tables, let’s examine a fictional case study with round numbers for simplicity:

Jared is considering early retirement at age 45, and over the years he has grown his IRA to an asset value of $2,000,000. He isn’t sure whether he wants to completely retire, work part time, pursue a career change, or start a new business. Let’s take a look at his options… (more…)

Consumer confidence falling & the $600 checks to save the day May 5, 2008

Posted by Jeff Nabers in Money, Personal Enjoyment, Self Directed IRA/401k, real estate.
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Did you get your $600 check yet? What will you do with it? Surveys are saying that most Americans will use their “Economic Stimulus” check to deal with gas, food, and catching up on bills. This doesn’t stimulate the economy.

Consumer spending stimulates the economy. In other words, the Department of Treasury sent out checks to us all totaling $150 billion in hopes that we would buy clothes, jewelry, and electronics. Let’s take a step back for a moment and assess how our system works:

Two thirds of our nation’s economic activity is coming from people spending money. When our economy is “going good” it is because people are spending money - often more than they make or have. When our economy is “doing badly” it is because people are saving money or living within their means.

Finances 101

This is America and everyone wants to be rich. How does one become rich?

Make more money than you spend.

Or spend less than you make… in case that hits closer to home for you.

A person following those rules is becoming wealthy, while a person who practices opposite rules is becoming poorer. Here’s where things start to look funny. Our economic system is booming when people are becoming (more…)

Real Estate in the Wild West March 27, 2008

Posted by Jeff Nabers in Personal Enjoyment, Self Directed IRA/401k.
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“Buying foreign real estate is kind of like buying real estate in the Wild West. 150 years ago they probably didn’t have an MLS, local board of Realtors, or disclosure laws,” says foreign investment specialist Tom Phelan. I had the chance to catch up with him today and pick his brain.

As described by Phelan, the system of real estate ownership transfers outside of the US often differs drastically from what we are accustomed to. “The guy fixing your flat tire in Panama or someone in Italy selling you a bottle of wine is as apt to say that they have a cousin selling a piece of property [as any other person]“. Many countries do not require a license for one person to represent another in a real estate sales transaction for a commission. In some countries, mortgage financing is virtually nonexistent and title insurance may be unavailable. Because of these differences, Tom recommends that you always visit a foreign location before considering purchasing real estate there and also recommends not buying on the first trip.

Probably the most interesting topic of our conversation was the effect of the declining dollar on the prospect of Americans purchasing foreign property. “[Because of the declining US dollar] the window of opportunity is closing in some regions, but remains wide open in others”. One country that (more…)